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Miami, Florida grab No. 1 seeds, Kentucky in the tournament?
10:38AM Wednesday
February 27, 2013
February 27, 2013
This probably isn't a surprise: Indiana and Duke are one-two on the s-curve and are the strongest No. 1 seed candidates as we move toward March. Since a last-second loss at Illinois, the Hoosiers have reclaimed the outright Big Ten lead by winning at both Ohio State and Michigan State. A victory at Minnesota tonight puts IU in the driver's seat for the league's regular season crown and top seed in the Big Ten tournament. That scenario would also give the Hoosiers the inside track toward the top spot in the Midwest Region – which flows through Indianapolis. Duke has steadily worked its way through the absence of Ryan Kelly. The Blue Devils are No. 1 in the RPI and have played the nation's second toughest schedule.
Miami-FL and Florida are the final No. 1 seeds. It's hard to know if either will hold those positions in two weeks. A second Big Team is likely to grab a No. 1 seed on Selection Sunday. And if Gonzaga closes out a perfect West Coast Conference season and wins its conference tournament, it might be hard for the Committee to deny the Bulldogs a top seed. Regardless, there's enough parity among the top three or four seed lines to make the Sweet 16 very entertaining.
Every Selection Committee member has his or her own personal views on which resume items are most important. Just take a look at some of today's bubble teams. Arizona State, Mississippi, Baylor, and Kentucky all have obvious flaws. If RPI and schedule strength – particularly out of conference – are sticking points, than the Sun Devils are probably out. At the same time, ASU has two wins over Colorado to go along with victories over UCLA and California. That's four wins against three teams currently projected in the Field of 68 – which is more than any of the other three. Safe to say, the next two weeks will be critical for all of the above.
UPDATED: February 26, 2013
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid based on current standings. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc). Records are for games against Division I teams only.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
Kentucky vs. Saint Mary's | Midwest Region
Virginia vs. Arizona State | West Region
NORFOLK STATE vs. SOUTHERN | East Region
CHARLESTON SO vs. ROBERT MORRIS | Midwest Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
EAST – Washington, DC
MIDWEST- Indianapolis
Philadelphia
Dayton
1) Duke
1) INDIANA
16) NORFOLK ST / SOUTHERN
16) ROB MORRIS / CHARLESTON-SO
8) San Diego State
8) NC State
9) Missouri
9) Oklahoma
Kansas City
Salt Lake
5) Notre Dame
5) Butler
12) Iowa State
12) Kentucky / Saint Mary's
4) Wisconsin
4) Syracuse
13) BUCKNELL
13) DAVIDSON
Philadelphia
Salt Lake
6) MEMPHIS
6) OREGON
11) La Salle
11) Villanova
3) GEORGETOWN
3) NEW MEXICO
14) STONY BROOK
14) SF AUSTIN
Auburn Hills
Kansas City
7) UCLA
7) Illinois
10) North Carolina
10) Creighton
2) Michigan State
2) KANSAS
15) HARVARD
15) SOUTH DAKOTA ST
SOUTH – Dallas
WEST – Los Angeles
Lexington
Lexington
1) MIAMI-FL
1) FLORIDA
16) NORTHEASTERN
16) MERCER
8) VCU
8) WICHITA STATE
9) Colorado
9) Cincinnati
Austin
Austin
5) Marquette
5) Ohio State
12) AKRON
12) Virginia / Arizona State
4) Kansas State
4) Oklahoma State
13) BELMONT
13) LOUISIANA TECH
Dayton
San Jose
6) SAINT LOUIS
6) UNLV
11) MID TENNESSEE ST
11) Temple
3) Louisville
3) Arizona
14) VALPARAISO
14) MONTANA
Auburn Hills
San Jose
7) Colorado State
7) Pittsburgh
10) California
10) Minnesota
2) Michigan
2) GONZAGA
15) NIAGARA
15) LONG BEACH
NOTES on the BRACKET: Indiana is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Duke, Miami-FL, and Florida. Next in line are Gonzaga, Michigan State, Michigan, and Kansas.
Last Five teams in (at large): Iowa State, Virginia, Saint Mary's, Kentucky, Arizona State
First Five teams out (at large): Baylor, Mississippi, Tennessee, Maryland, Alabama
Next Five teams out (at large): Arkansas, St. John's, Charlotte, Boise State, Indiana State
Breakdown by Conference …
Big East (8): Louisville, Syracuse, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Marquette, Pittsburgh, Villanova
Big Ten (7): Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Illinois
Pac 12 (6): Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon, California, Arizona State
Big 12 (5): Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Iowa State
Atlantic 10 (5): Butler, VCU, Temple, La Salle, Saint Louis
ACC (5): Duke, NC State, North Carolina, Miami-FL, Virginia
SEC (3): Missouri, Florida, Kentucky
Mountain West (4): San Diego State, UNLV, New Mexico, Colorado State
Missouri Valley (2): Creighton, Wichita State
West Coast (2): Gonzaga, Saint Mary's
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Conference Automatic Qualifiers … BELMONT (Ohio Valley), BUCKNELL (Patriot), MIDDLE TENNESSE ST (Sunbelt), SOUTH DAKOTA STATE(Summit), VALPARAISO (Horizon), DAVIDSON (Southern), LOUISIANA TECH (WAC), NIAGARA (MAAC), STEPHEN F. AUSTIN (Southland), AKRON (MAC), MERCER (A-Sun), HARVARD (IVY), LONG BEACH (Big West), NORTHEASTERN (Colonial), STONY BROOK (American East), MONTANA (Big Sky), NORFOLK STATE (MEAC), CHARLESTON-SOUTHERN (Big South), ROBERT MORRIS (NEC), SOUTHERN (SWAC)
Miami-FL and Florida are the final No. 1 seeds. It's hard to know if either will hold those positions in two weeks. A second Big Team is likely to grab a No. 1 seed on Selection Sunday. And if Gonzaga closes out a perfect West Coast Conference season and wins its conference tournament, it might be hard for the Committee to deny the Bulldogs a top seed. Regardless, there's enough parity among the top three or four seed lines to make the Sweet 16 very entertaining.
Every Selection Committee member has his or her own personal views on which resume items are most important. Just take a look at some of today's bubble teams. Arizona State, Mississippi, Baylor, and Kentucky all have obvious flaws. If RPI and schedule strength – particularly out of conference – are sticking points, than the Sun Devils are probably out. At the same time, ASU has two wins over Colorado to go along with victories over UCLA and California. That's four wins against three teams currently projected in the Field of 68 – which is more than any of the other three. Safe to say, the next two weeks will be critical for all of the above.
UPDATED: February 26, 2013
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid based on current standings. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc). Records are for games against Division I teams only.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
Kentucky vs. Saint Mary's | Midwest Region
Virginia vs. Arizona State | West Region
NORFOLK STATE vs. SOUTHERN | East Region
CHARLESTON SO vs. ROBERT MORRIS | Midwest Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
EAST – Washington, DC
MIDWEST- Indianapolis
Philadelphia
Dayton
1) Duke
1) INDIANA
16) NORFOLK ST / SOUTHERN
16) ROB MORRIS / CHARLESTON-SO
8) San Diego State
8) NC State
9) Missouri
9) Oklahoma
Kansas City
Salt Lake
5) Notre Dame
5) Butler
12) Iowa State
12) Kentucky / Saint Mary's
4) Wisconsin
4) Syracuse
13) BUCKNELL
13) DAVIDSON
Philadelphia
Salt Lake
6) MEMPHIS
6) OREGON
11) La Salle
11) Villanova
3) GEORGETOWN
3) NEW MEXICO
14) STONY BROOK
14) SF AUSTIN
Auburn Hills
Kansas City
7) UCLA
7) Illinois
10) North Carolina
10) Creighton
2) Michigan State
2) KANSAS
15) HARVARD
15) SOUTH DAKOTA ST
SOUTH – Dallas
WEST – Los Angeles
Lexington
Lexington
1) MIAMI-FL
1) FLORIDA
16) NORTHEASTERN
16) MERCER
8) VCU
8) WICHITA STATE
9) Colorado
9) Cincinnati
Austin
Austin
5) Marquette
5) Ohio State
12) AKRON
12) Virginia / Arizona State
4) Kansas State
4) Oklahoma State
13) BELMONT
13) LOUISIANA TECH
Dayton
San Jose
6) SAINT LOUIS
6) UNLV
11) MID TENNESSEE ST
11) Temple
3) Louisville
3) Arizona
14) VALPARAISO
14) MONTANA
Auburn Hills
San Jose
7) Colorado State
7) Pittsburgh
10) California
10) Minnesota
2) Michigan
2) GONZAGA
15) NIAGARA
15) LONG BEACH
NOTES on the BRACKET: Indiana is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Duke, Miami-FL, and Florida. Next in line are Gonzaga, Michigan State, Michigan, and Kansas.
Last Five teams in (at large): Iowa State, Virginia, Saint Mary's, Kentucky, Arizona State
First Five teams out (at large): Baylor, Mississippi, Tennessee, Maryland, Alabama
Next Five teams out (at large): Arkansas, St. John's, Charlotte, Boise State, Indiana State
Breakdown by Conference …
Big East (8): Louisville, Syracuse, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Marquette, Pittsburgh, Villanova
Big Ten (7): Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Illinois
Pac 12 (6): Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon, California, Arizona State
Big 12 (5): Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Iowa State
Atlantic 10 (5): Butler, VCU, Temple, La Salle, Saint Louis
ACC (5): Duke, NC State, North Carolina, Miami-FL, Virginia
SEC (3): Missouri, Florida, Kentucky
Mountain West (4): San Diego State, UNLV, New Mexico, Colorado State
Missouri Valley (2): Creighton, Wichita State
West Coast (2): Gonzaga, Saint Mary's
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Conference Automatic Qualifiers … BELMONT (Ohio Valley), BUCKNELL (Patriot), MIDDLE TENNESSE ST (Sunbelt), SOUTH DAKOTA STATE(Summit), VALPARAISO (Horizon), DAVIDSON (Southern), LOUISIANA TECH (WAC), NIAGARA (MAAC), STEPHEN F. AUSTIN (Southland), AKRON (MAC), MERCER (A-Sun), HARVARD (IVY), LONG BEACH (Big West), NORTHEASTERN (Colonial), STONY BROOK (American East), MONTANA (Big Sky), NORFOLK STATE (MEAC), CHARLESTON-SOUTHERN (Big South), ROBERT MORRIS (NEC), SOUTHERN (SWAC)
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