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How Sunday affects NFC West playoff race



© Kelley L Cox | 2022 Nov 13

The 49ers were likely to make the playoffs before their win over the Chargers on Sunday, but there path may have gotten a bit easier.

San Francisco is now the favorite to win the NFC West with their victory and the Seattle Seahawks loss to the Arizona Cardinals according to FiveThirtyEight. The 49ers odds to win the division went from 46% to 61% after Sunday, with their odds to make the playoffs sitting firmly at 84%. The Seahawks odds to win the division went from 50% to 36%. They are still favored to make the playoffs at 79%.

The NFC playoff picture is somewhat bizarre. The 49ers are firmly in the final NFC playoff seed, but the team right below them, the 4-5 Washington Commanders, have just a 15% chance to make the playoffs. Essentially, there is a massive drop off from the top seven, meaning that if the odds are any indication, there may not be much change in the NFC Postseason picture for the remainder of the season.

Here’s the current outlook, with postseason percentages:

  1. Eagles (8-0) 99+%
  2. Vikings (8-1) 99+%
  3. Seahawks (6-4) 79%
  4. Buccaneers (5-5) 83%
  5. Giants (7-2) 81%
  6. Cowboys (6-3) 95%
  7. 49ers (5-4) 84%
  8. Commanders (4-5) 15%
  9. Packers (4-6) 13%
  10. Falcons (4-6) 15%
  11. Cardinals (4-6) 12%